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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+8.61vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.34vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+5.04vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+2.59vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.56+6.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.02vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+2.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12+1.24vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.38-4.52vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.90vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.95vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.30-3.57vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.10-0.08vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.06-8.65vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.50-7.20vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.42-3.79vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.97-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.34Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.24Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.48Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.05Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.43Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.92Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.21Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Riley Legault | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 15.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 29.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 19.7% |
| Annie Spence | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.