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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.97vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+4.24vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.58vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+0.98vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+1.81vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+1.55vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.30+0.28vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-1.90vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-5.00vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.97-1.64vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.56-0.96vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.42-1.54vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.16-5.43vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-6.40vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.10-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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4.97Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.24George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.28Brown University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.0Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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12.46Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.57University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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13.43Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annie Spence | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 20.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.