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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+6.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+5.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.94vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+0.68vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.67vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12+2.74vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.97+2.15vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16-0.49vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.56+0.90vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-4.69vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-6.79vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.42-1.50vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-6.70vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.10-2.58vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.30-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.36University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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5.68Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.41Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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7.31George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.42Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.13Brown University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 15.8% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Annie Spence | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 16.7% |
| Riley Legault | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 19.9% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 30.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.