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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.97+7.29vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+4.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.30+3.90vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+3.73vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15-1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.65vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.70vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-2.83vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.12-1.07vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-5.87vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.42-0.52vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.40vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-6.78vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.10-2.55vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.56-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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4.99Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.3Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.9Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.73University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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5.84Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.17George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.48Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.45Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Spence | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Riley Legault | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 19.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 29.8% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.