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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+6.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.92vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.12+6.73vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+4.32vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.32vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+2.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.92vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+1.40vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-2.71vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.15-4.22vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.42+1.37vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.30-2.97vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.97-2.49vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.56-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-6.21vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.36vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.10-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.92Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.73Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.32Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.4University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.78Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.37Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.03Brown University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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13.46Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 19.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Annie Spence | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.