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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.90vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.97+7.29vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.51vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.02vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+2.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.89vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+1.55vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76-1.62vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-2.00vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.53vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.56-0.99vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.30-4.76vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.10-1.67vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.61vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.16-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.74Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.38George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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9.24Brown University2.300.0%1st Place
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13.33Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.67University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 16.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Riley Legault | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 32.2% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 18.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.