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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+6.72vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.56vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+5.39vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.84+5.67vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.33+2.47vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+4.46vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19+1.41vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.93+1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.62+1.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.16-1.75vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49+0.38vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.53+3.51vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90+1.21vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.22vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.65-4.42vs Predicted
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16Brown University4.25-8.14vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.13-0.42vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.31-5.74vs Predicted
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19University of Miami3.69-8.69vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University3.61-9.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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7.47Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.41Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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11.38University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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15.51Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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14.21Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.78SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.58Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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16.58University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| John Stokes | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Martin Sterling | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 24.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% |
| Harry Scott | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| William Brown | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 38.2% |
| Leif Evensen | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| David Hernandez | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.