Race 1A

bobby-berliner-miweek-firefly-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Casey Cabot 33.7% 26.7% 16.8% 11.4% 6.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 2.9% 3.1% 5.7% 6.9% 10.1% 10.6% 14.2% 23.5% 23.0%
Nicholas Memoli 5.1% 7.4% 9.2% 10.8% 11.4% 13.4% 15.9% 18.3% 8.5%
Carina Becker 10.5% 12.6% 14.5% 15.0% 13.8% 13.3% 11.3% 6.7% 2.3%
Kaila Pfrang 22.3% 20.9% 15.4% 14.9% 10.4% 7.3% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5%
Carter Brock 7.1% 8.1% 9.9% 13.2% 13.9% 15.4% 14.4% 11.2% 6.8%
Evan Robison 7.7% 8.6% 11.7% 11.5% 15.7% 14.4% 12.8% 12.1% 5.5%
Robert Bartlett 8.6% 9.9% 13.3% 13.0% 13.9% 14.0% 13.9% 8.8% 4.6%
Preston Tower 2.1% 2.7% 3.5% 3.3% 4.6% 8.0% 10.1% 16.9% 48.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.