Race 2A

bobby-berliner-miweek-firefly-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Casey Cabot 34.0% 26.5% 18.1% 10.6% 6.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 2.8% 3.3% 5.1% 7.4% 10.3% 10.7% 13.5% 23.7% 23.2%
Carina Becker 8.5% 13.4% 12.8% 15.1% 12.6% 15.8% 11.0% 8.6% 2.2%
Carter Brock 7.0% 9.0% 11.4% 12.0% 13.7% 13.0% 15.3% 12.7% 5.9%
Kaila Pfrang 22.3% 20.7% 15.3% 15.5% 10.0% 7.6% 6.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Nicholas Memoli 6.4% 6.1% 8.9% 11.7% 14.2% 13.3% 16.6% 13.5% 9.3%
Robert Bartlett 8.8% 10.2% 13.0% 11.2% 15.8% 15.0% 12.7% 9.2% 4.1%
Evan Robison 8.1% 8.1% 12.3% 12.3% 13.0% 14.4% 12.2% 13.0% 6.6%
Preston Tower 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 4.2% 4.4% 6.9% 11.4% 16.9% 48.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.