Race 3A

bobby-berliner-miweek-firefly-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Casey Cabot 35.0% 23.6% 18.3% 11.5% 5.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Kaila Pfrang 15.5% 21.9% 16.9% 16.7% 12.3% 8.6% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0%
Ben Palmer 3.6% 4.1% 4.8% 7.4% 10.5% 10.0% 15.4% 23.4% 20.8%
Robert Bartlett 9.0% 11.4% 11.2% 14.6% 14.0% 13.1% 13.7% 9.0% 4.0%
Carina Becker 11.4% 13.7% 15.1% 12.9% 13.1% 12.8% 10.0% 6.6% 4.4%
Nicholas Memoli 6.5% 6.4% 9.5% 10.2% 12.5% 14.8% 16.9% 14.3% 8.9%
Carter Brock 7.9% 6.7% 9.9% 11.7% 13.6% 15.6% 13.3% 13.8% 7.5%
Evan Robison 8.5% 9.6% 11.2% 11.2% 13.4% 14.6% 13.7% 12.4% 5.4%
Preston Tower 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 6.6% 11.1% 17.5% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.