Race 5A

bobby-berliner-miweek-firefly-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ben Palmer 4.2% 4.5% 5.4% 7.7% 9.9% 9.6% 15.8% 20.9% 22.0%
Kaila Pfrang 15.3% 21.7% 18.9% 14.1% 13.4% 7.9% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9%
Nicholas Memoli 5.4% 7.6% 9.6% 10.1% 11.9% 12.9% 16.1% 17.3% 9.1%
Carter Brock 7.0% 8.7% 10.9% 13.1% 13.3% 14.2% 13.3% 12.4% 7.1%
Casey Cabot 37.9% 23.3% 16.4% 10.3% 6.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Robert Bartlett 8.8% 10.8% 11.1% 13.4% 13.6% 17.0% 11.4% 9.7% 4.2%
Carina Becker 10.1% 11.2% 14.3% 14.9% 13.3% 13.8% 11.5% 8.1% 2.8%
Evan Robison 8.8% 9.3% 10.0% 12.7% 13.7% 12.8% 15.2% 11.6% 5.9%
Preston Tower 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 3.7% 4.5% 7.9% 10.2% 17.0% 47.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.