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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+3.37vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+3.20vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.80+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago1.01+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.57+2.65vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.21-0.40vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.62+0.79vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.20-2.38vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.31-1.88vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.71-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.17-4.25vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.85-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Indiana University1.1915.0%1st Place
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5.2Washington University0.6711.9%1st Place
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4.89Purdue University0.8013.6%1st Place
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4.59University of Chicago1.0114.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Saint Thomas0.8812.2%1st Place
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8.65University of Wisconsin-0.572.9%1st Place
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6.6Marquette University0.217.5%1st Place
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8.79Lake Forest College-0.623.0%1st Place
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6.62Northwestern University0.206.8%1st Place
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8.12Hope College-0.313.5%1st Place
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8.92Michigan State University-0.713.4%1st Place
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7.75University of Michigan-0.175.2%1st Place
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11.43Northwestern University-1.850.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Nithya Balachander | 15.0% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Wyatt Tait | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Sam Childers | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Max Zhalilo | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Greg Bittle | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Phoebe Milhollin | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 8.4% |
Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
Andrea Casagrande Caron | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 9.7% |
Charles Crowell | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
Caroline Henry | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
Joey Skerbeck | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 10.4% |
John McCalmont | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
Sean Bascoe | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.