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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+10.37vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.26vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+3.70vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.90+5.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+0.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79+3.82vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75+3.19vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+1.72vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-1.31vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.84+2.52vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-1.25vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.60-2.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-6.72vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.14-6.74vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-5.96vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.83-3.58vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.92+0.94vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-6.66vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University-1.15-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.37Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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5.26Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.82Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.19Dartmouth College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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10.75Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.8Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.26Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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18.94Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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19.19North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Haber Carlson | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 46.4% | 43.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 35.8% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.