← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.77+4.81vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.75+7.91vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.39+8.45vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College3.56+2.61vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.60+5.45vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.93-0.66vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.57vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.79+1.49vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.83+4.49vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.60+0.49vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.75-1.07vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University3.14-3.58vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.90-3.45vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.81-4.44vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.70-4.90vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan1.84-2.52vs Predicted
-
17Boston University3.24-9.33vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.44vs Predicted
-
19North Carolina State University-1.15+0.11vs Predicted
-
20Washington College-0.92-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.81Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.91Dartmouth College2.750.0%1st Place
-
11.45Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
6.61Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.45Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
5.34Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.49Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
13.49University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.49Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
-
9.93Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.42Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.55Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
-
9.56Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
10.1University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
13.48University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
-
7.67Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
12.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
19.11North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
-
19.01Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| Brad Seferian | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 22.4% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 54.0% |
| Haber Carlson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 44.3% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.