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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+4.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.90+7.35vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+3.83vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+6.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39+6.43vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.51vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+1.42vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-2.76vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81+0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.84+3.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.70-0.71vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-3.92vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.60-2.04vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.79-4.26vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.83-1.52vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.14-7.67vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.75-7.21vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.34vs Predicted
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19North Carolina State University-1.15+0.12vs Predicted
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20Washington College-0.92-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.35Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.83Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.72Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.24Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.59Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.96Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.74Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.33Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.79Dartmouth College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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19.12North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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19.01Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 20.7% | 6.0% | 0.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 36.0% | 54.2% |
| Haber Carlson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 44.1% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.