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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.23+5.68vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.07+9.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+5.48vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+3.67vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.93+2.82vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.96+1.76vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-0.36vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.82-0.73vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.37+0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.44+2.96vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-3.19vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.71-3.87vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-3.04vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.92-7.04vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.05-5.54vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.31-7.42vs Predicted
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19Washington College-0.76-0.43vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University-1.49-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.55Fordham University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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9.13Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.27Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.0%1st Place
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7.96Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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13.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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18.57Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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19.32North Carolina State University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 9.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Gerber | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 23.4% | 7.5% | 0.3% |
| Colin Richards | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Houghton | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 51.3% | 31.8% |
| Anneliese Carlson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 24.6% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.