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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+7.34vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+5.66vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+3.80vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.82+4.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.70+3.80vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.44+7.28vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.37+2.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+4.96vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.71-1.19vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-3.01vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.96-4.11vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-2.14vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.93-6.23vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-4.04vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.05-4.42vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.07-5.64vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.93-10.08vs Predicted
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19Washington College-0.76-0.45vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University-1.49-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.36Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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14.28University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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10.08Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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8.81Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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10.86Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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11.36Fordham University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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18.55Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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19.33North Carolina State University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colton Gerber | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 23.2% | 8.4% | 0.7% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 22.5% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| Walter Florio | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Houghton | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 50.0% | 31.6% |
| Anneliese Carlson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 24.9% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.