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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.82+7.34vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.05+9.62vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.70+5.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+6.98vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82+3.31vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+1.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92-0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.44+4.89vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.96-2.22vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.37-0.68vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-4.18vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.71-3.92vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.23-7.39vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.93-7.07vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.07-4.46vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.02vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.76+0.60vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.31-8.61vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University-1.49-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.98Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.0%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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13.89University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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10.32Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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11.54Fordham University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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18.6Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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19.3North Carolina State University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Richards | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colton Gerber | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 22.7% | 7.1% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Houghton | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 51.5% | 32.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anneliese Carlson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 25.9% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.