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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.20+5.53vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.88+3.02vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19+1.44vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.67+1.25vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.80+0.06vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.31+1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago1.01-2.36vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.21-1.47vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.17-1.32vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College-0.62-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.57-2.34vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-0.71-3.07vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.85-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Northwestern University0.207.2%1st Place
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5.02University of Saint Thomas0.8812.6%1st Place
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4.44Indiana University1.1916.3%1st Place
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5.25Washington University0.6710.8%1st Place
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5.06Purdue University0.8012.6%1st Place
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7.88Hope College-0.314.3%1st Place
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4.64University of Chicago1.0113.9%1st Place
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6.53Marquette University0.217.5%1st Place
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7.68University of Michigan-0.174.7%1st Place
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8.86Lake Forest College-0.622.8%1st Place
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8.66University of Wisconsin-0.573.4%1st Place
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8.93Michigan State University-0.712.6%1st Place
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11.52Northwestern University-1.851.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Charles Crowell | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
Greg Bittle | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Nithya Balachander | 16.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Wyatt Tait | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Sam Childers | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Caroline Henry | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
Max Zhalilo | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
John McCalmont | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 9.7% |
Phoebe Milhollin | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 8.9% |
Joey Skerbeck | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 10.8% |
Sean Bascoe | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 13.7% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.