Race 10A

rebecca-becky-blank

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sam Childers 12.1% 12.8% 12.6% 12.0% 10.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.2% 5.7% 4.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Greg Bittle 13.1% 10.8% 11.2% 11.3% 11.1% 10.8% 10.3% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Wyatt Tait 11.9% 12.3% 11.9% 10.5% 10.1% 7.9% 9.4% 9.9% 7.0% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Nithya Balachander 13.8% 15.2% 15.2% 12.5% 10.9% 9.8% 7.3% 5.9% 4.4% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Brian Zettlemoyer 6.9% 8.3% 7.0% 8.0% 9.6% 9.3% 9.0% 9.9% 10.3% 8.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.3%
Andrea Casagrande Caron 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 4.7% 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 6.9% 9.6% 11.9% 13.1% 17.4% 10.2%
Max Zhalilo 14.5% 14.4% 11.8% 11.7% 11.3% 10.1% 7.8% 6.7% 5.3% 3.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Charles Crowell 7.5% 6.0% 8.5% 9.3% 9.2% 9.2% 9.9% 9.5% 9.4% 9.4% 6.2% 4.5% 1.4%
Joey Skerbeck 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 4.0% 4.4% 4.9% 7.1% 7.0% 8.8% 12.2% 14.0% 16.4% 11.2%
Caroline Henry 4.2% 4.6% 4.4% 5.8% 5.8% 7.0% 6.6% 8.8% 9.8% 12.2% 12.2% 12.8% 5.8%
John McCalmont 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 5.4% 5.8% 7.9% 8.1% 9.2% 10.2% 11.3% 12.7% 10.5% 3.5%
Phoebe Milhollin 4.0% 3.1% 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.8% 7.0% 7.0% 9.1% 10.5% 15.3% 16.8% 8.6%
Sean Bascoe 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 4.9% 8.1% 12.7% 57.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.