Race 1A

amanda

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Taylor Gavula 7.7% 8.6% 11.0% 8.5% 9.3% 9.1% 9.1% 9.3% 7.8% 6.0% 4.5% 4.7% 3.1% 1.3%
Audrey Giblin 13.0% 13.1% 12.2% 11.8% 11.5% 10.0% 8.1% 7.3% 4.7% 3.4% 2.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.4%
Janel DeCurtis 4.3% 3.7% 3.4% 7.0% 5.0% 5.3% 6.3% 6.5% 8.4% 8.2% 10.5% 11.0% 10.5% 9.9%
Ragna Agerup 23.1% 20.3% 15.4% 12.2% 8.9% 8.1% 4.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Lindsay Doyle 5.9% 7.0% 8.7% 9.7% 9.0% 9.0% 10.4% 8.6% 7.7% 7.2% 6.7% 4.9% 3.4% 1.8%
Sarah Hermus 16.0% 14.9% 13.9% 13.7% 11.5% 8.4% 5.6% 7.0% 4.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Catherine Price 5.6% 6.9% 7.2% 5.9% 8.1% 7.7% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 8.2% 8.3% 7.0% 5.9% 3.8%
Sofia Kirkman 2.4% 3.1% 3.0% 3.4% 4.8% 4.6% 4.4% 5.1% 7.0% 6.6% 7.9% 11.7% 14.7% 21.3%
Emilia Clementi 4.2% 3.9% 4.7% 4.5% 5.6% 6.0% 8.5% 7.5% 10.3% 9.4% 8.7% 10.6% 8.6% 7.5%
Sabina Van Mell 3.8% 2.9% 3.0% 4.2% 5.3% 6.9% 8.1% 5.8% 7.5% 8.8% 9.5% 10.2% 14.1% 9.9%
Grace Vincens 3.2% 3.2% 4.1% 4.4% 5.3% 6.1% 7.1% 6.4% 8.6% 10.4% 9.8% 10.1% 10.8% 10.5%
Charlotte Lenz 2.5% 3.2% 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 5.4% 4.7% 6.8% 6.9% 9.6% 10.0% 11.2% 10.8% 19.8%
Allison Cahn 3.7% 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.7% 5.4% 8.4% 8.3% 9.2% 10.1% 9.8% 11.9% 9.9%
Greta Farrell 4.6% 5.7% 6.9% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 9.1% 9.2% 7.6% 9.7% 10.0% 6.6% 5.4% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.