Race 2A

amanda

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Greta Farrell 6.0% 4.6% 6.1% 6.8% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 7.9% 7.5% 6.4% 4.9%
Lindsay Doyle 7.5% 10.7% 8.4% 7.1% 9.3% 9.6% 9.4% 9.7% 8.1% 7.2% 5.4% 4.4% 1.7% 1.5%
Catherine Price 5.4% 5.2% 7.6% 7.3% 6.4% 6.6% 6.9% 8.6% 9.9% 8.4% 9.7% 7.2% 6.5% 4.3%
Emilia Clementi 4.1% 3.9% 4.9% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 7.2% 8.3% 7.6% 7.9% 10.9% 10.7% 9.4% 6.5%
Allison Cahn 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 7.3% 6.1% 7.2% 8.0% 6.8% 10.4% 10.1% 12.7% 12.2%
Sarah Hermus 15.0% 15.6% 13.5% 13.5% 12.3% 7.6% 7.0% 5.5% 4.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Grace Vincens 4.1% 3.7% 5.6% 6.3% 4.9% 5.6% 6.4% 7.3% 8.7% 10.3% 8.2% 8.4% 10.7% 9.8%
Charlotte Lenz 3.4% 2.7% 3.4% 3.7% 4.4% 3.9% 6.2% 4.9% 6.8% 6.8% 9.8% 11.1% 15.6% 17.3%
Taylor Gavula 8.3% 8.1% 7.9% 8.3% 10.6% 10.0% 9.7% 8.4% 7.6% 7.9% 5.3% 4.3% 2.4% 1.2%
Audrey Giblin 11.2% 11.6% 12.1% 12.9% 10.8% 9.1% 8.7% 6.9% 6.2% 4.4% 3.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.4%
Ragna Agerup 22.9% 20.0% 16.0% 11.8% 8.5% 8.6% 5.0% 3.3% 1.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Janel DeCurtis 3.8% 3.2% 3.7% 4.3% 6.3% 6.0% 7.1% 7.6% 9.0% 10.9% 8.6% 9.6% 8.7% 11.2%
Sabina Van Mell 3.2% 4.9% 3.8% 4.9% 4.0% 5.7% 6.9% 8.2% 7.9% 8.4% 10.0% 10.5% 11.4% 10.2%
Sofia Kirkman 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 4.8% 5.8% 5.9% 5.8% 7.0% 9.0% 13.0% 13.5% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.