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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.55+2.90vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.55+4.57vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.80+4.23vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.44+2.14vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.20-0.29vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.49-1.15vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.09-1.52vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.77-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-0.03-3.61vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.16-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.71-1.30vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-2.49-0.79vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-1.89-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Chicago0.5520.4%1st Place
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6.57Northwestern University-0.556.3%1st Place
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7.23Washington University-0.805.5%1st Place
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6.14Michigan State University-0.447.8%1st Place
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4.71Indiana University0.2012.7%1st Place
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4.85Purdue University-0.4913.1%1st Place
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5.48Marquette University-0.099.8%1st Place
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7.26Hope College-0.776.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Saint Thomas-0.039.8%1st Place
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8.32Northwestern University-1.164.3%1st Place
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9.7University of Michigan-1.711.8%1st Place
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11.21Lake Forest College-2.490.9%1st Place
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10.24University of Wisconsin-1.891.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 20.4% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Sunny Sun | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eli Erling | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ella Sligh | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 17.7% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 47.0% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 24.2% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.