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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+5.45vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+1.36vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.74vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.21+3.74vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42+5.13vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-2.87vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.82+0.80vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-3.81vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-1.11vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-1.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.52-2.14vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.79-4.09vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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3.36Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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8.8Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.19Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.09Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.18Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 23.8% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Catherine Price | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 22.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 18.9% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 18.6% |
| Sabina Van Mell | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.