Race 4A

amanda

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lindsay Doyle 6.5% 8.6% 10.2% 9.7% 8.3% 9.5% 7.8% 9.7% 7.5% 6.6% 6.0% 4.2% 3.8% 1.6%
Audrey Giblin 12.4% 13.8% 12.4% 11.9% 10.5% 9.7% 10.2% 6.1% 4.7% 3.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3%
Greta Farrell 5.0% 5.5% 6.4% 7.5% 6.0% 6.7% 9.2% 7.4% 9.6% 7.1% 10.2% 8.7% 6.3% 4.4%
Ragna Agerup 23.0% 19.9% 15.4% 13.9% 8.5% 7.5% 5.7% 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Allison Cahn 2.5% 3.3% 4.5% 3.8% 6.6% 6.0% 6.8% 6.2% 8.1% 8.9% 9.6% 10.4% 11.3% 12.0%
Charlotte Lenz 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 4.3% 4.6% 5.6% 8.0% 8.9% 9.2% 11.0% 14.0% 18.8%
Taylor Gavula 8.6% 10.4% 7.9% 9.6% 10.6% 9.7% 8.6% 8.9% 7.2% 7.2% 4.0% 3.6% 2.8% 0.9%
Janel DeCurtis 4.1% 4.1% 5.0% 4.4% 6.7% 5.3% 5.8% 7.9% 7.6% 9.8% 9.3% 9.6% 9.6% 10.8%
Catherine Price 5.4% 5.1% 5.3% 6.5% 5.6% 8.3% 9.4% 9.0% 9.8% 7.7% 9.6% 8.0% 6.1% 4.2%
Grace Vincens 3.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.1% 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 8.7% 7.5% 8.4% 8.9% 11.2% 12.5% 9.1%
Sarah Hermus 17.3% 13.6% 15.0% 11.4% 11.6% 8.6% 6.9% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Sabina Van Mell 3.0% 3.6% 3.7% 4.3% 4.9% 6.0% 6.9% 8.6% 8.1% 9.4% 9.7% 10.0% 9.9% 11.9%
Sofia Kirkman 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 5.0% 4.2% 5.1% 7.3% 9.0% 9.2% 11.4% 13.6% 20.5%
Emilia Clementi 4.1% 3.9% 4.7% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.9% 8.5% 10.6% 9.5% 9.2% 9.3% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.