Race 5A

amanda

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Taylor Gavula 8.0% 8.1% 11.0% 9.1% 10.5% 8.8% 7.7% 9.7% 7.7% 6.4% 4.0% 4.9% 2.6% 1.5%
Ragna Agerup 23.7% 23.2% 14.1% 12.3% 10.4% 6.3% 3.9% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Lindsay Doyle 7.0% 8.5% 9.9% 9.0% 8.4% 7.6% 9.2% 10.1% 7.7% 7.8% 5.4% 5.6% 2.2% 1.6%
Allison Cahn 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 4.2% 4.9% 5.9% 6.5% 8.3% 7.9% 8.3% 10.4% 9.7% 12.9% 10.3%
Sofia Kirkman 2.2% 2.2% 3.4% 2.2% 4.1% 5.3% 5.0% 4.6% 6.1% 6.4% 10.7% 11.1% 14.5% 22.2%
Greta Farrell 4.9% 4.7% 5.6% 5.6% 6.5% 9.5% 7.3% 9.2% 9.8% 8.1% 8.9% 6.6% 8.4% 4.9%
Janel DeCurtis 3.9% 4.4% 4.5% 6.7% 5.4% 6.5% 6.7% 6.7% 9.1% 9.8% 9.8% 8.3% 9.4% 8.8%
Catherine Price 5.8% 5.4% 6.1% 7.4% 7.0% 8.3% 7.1% 8.0% 8.1% 9.3% 8.4% 7.5% 5.9% 5.7%
Sarah Hermus 16.5% 15.1% 12.2% 15.1% 10.9% 8.9% 6.3% 6.8% 3.8% 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Audrey Giblin 11.2% 11.1% 14.7% 10.2% 10.6% 10.0% 9.4% 7.2% 6.1% 3.5% 2.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Emilia Clementi 4.0% 4.7% 3.4% 4.5% 7.1% 7.1% 9.0% 6.3% 8.9% 9.4% 9.0% 11.0% 8.1% 7.5%
Sabina Van Mell 3.6% 2.6% 3.2% 5.6% 4.8% 6.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 11.0% 9.0% 11.0% 9.4% 11.5%
Grace Vincens 4.4% 2.9% 4.5% 4.4% 5.5% 4.7% 7.9% 8.3% 9.0% 7.7% 10.9% 9.1% 11.1% 9.6%
Charlotte Lenz 2.1% 3.6% 2.9% 3.7% 3.9% 5.1% 6.8% 5.1% 6.0% 9.2% 9.6% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.