Race 6A

amanda

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Audrey Giblin 11.5% 14.7% 11.9% 12.1% 10.1% 8.5% 7.6% 6.8% 6.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Sarah Hermus 17.6% 15.1% 16.1% 13.3% 11.2% 8.3% 5.6% 5.5% 3.6% 1.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Ragna Agerup 25.0% 20.3% 14.4% 11.4% 10.9% 7.6% 4.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Catherine Price 3.6% 5.7% 7.2% 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 8.4% 10.6% 8.8% 7.6% 8.8% 7.3% 7.1% 4.3%
Taylor Gavula 7.2% 7.5% 8.5% 9.1% 10.3% 9.0% 10.0% 7.6% 8.8% 7.7% 5.6% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2%
Allison Cahn 3.4% 3.7% 2.9% 4.8% 4.8% 6.8% 6.1% 6.9% 8.5% 9.4% 9.0% 11.3% 11.0% 11.4%
Emilia Clementi 4.1% 5.1% 6.3% 5.4% 7.0% 5.7% 7.1% 9.1% 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 9.5% 8.3% 6.1%
Sabina Van Mell 3.9% 3.4% 5.0% 6.1% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 6.3% 7.6% 7.5% 11.5% 10.3% 10.5% 11.7%
Lindsay Doyle 7.2% 6.6% 9.0% 7.7% 9.2% 11.6% 9.1% 8.8% 7.9% 7.1% 6.0% 5.0% 3.4% 1.4%
Charlotte Lenz 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 2.5% 4.4% 4.2% 6.4% 5.8% 6.8% 8.6% 9.0% 11.2% 14.9% 18.4%
Sofia Kirkman 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 3.5% 3.7% 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 5.7% 7.3% 9.4% 12.0% 15.5% 20.6%
Grace Vincens 3.0% 3.9% 3.2% 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 8.6% 6.2% 8.2% 10.5% 9.4% 9.1% 10.4% 11.1%
Janel DeCurtis 4.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.0% 4.9% 7.4% 6.1% 9.1% 7.6% 10.2% 8.7% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2%
Greta Farrell 4.6% 5.4% 6.9% 7.7% 7.0% 7.1% 9.0% 8.7% 9.4% 9.1% 9.2% 6.7% 5.1% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.