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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+7.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+2.98vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+2.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52+4.98vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-1.59vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82+1.77vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.15vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.21-1.12vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.42+0.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.79-1.80vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98-3.43vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-5.00vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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4.98Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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3.44Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.77Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.88Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.57Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 23.9% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 19.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Catherine Price | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 22.5% |
| Sabina Van Mell | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.