Race 1B

amanda

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Haig 24.6% 20.1% 15.3% 11.4% 9.3% 6.4% 4.6% 3.7% 1.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Leyla Senocak 4.9% 7.2% 7.8% 6.7% 6.7% 6.5% 7.3% 7.3% 10.3% 9.0% 10.9% 7.1% 5.3% 3.0%
Annie Spence 5.9% 7.0% 8.4% 6.9% 8.2% 6.8% 7.6% 10.7% 7.7% 8.8% 8.5% 6.7% 4.7% 2.1%
Allison DeLuca 1.1% 1.4% 2.6% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 4.4% 5.5% 3.9% 7.2% 8.6% 11.2% 19.0% 25.8%
Lucy Wilmot 8.7% 11.7% 11.5% 10.4% 9.7% 10.6% 8.6% 7.3% 6.3% 7.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Delaney Bamford 9.0% 8.2% 9.4% 11.5% 9.5% 9.6% 8.8% 7.9% 7.1% 7.4% 5.4% 3.0% 3.0% 0.2%
Rachel Foster 10.1% 10.7% 9.6% 9.3% 10.1% 9.1% 8.9% 8.3% 8.3% 5.2% 4.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Kathryn Hall 11.9% 11.1% 10.0% 11.3% 10.1% 10.1% 7.4% 6.7% 6.8% 5.6% 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Julia Leighton 5.3% 4.5% 5.2% 6.4% 6.8% 7.4% 8.3% 7.9% 10.1% 10.7% 9.4% 7.6% 6.4% 4.0%
Carina Becker 4.0% 3.2% 3.4% 6.5% 5.9% 7.4% 7.2% 7.5% 8.9% 8.3% 10.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.7%
Erin Coyne 1.5% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 2.7% 3.6% 4.8% 5.7% 5.3% 8.3% 10.9% 15.8% 33.6%
Kelsey Slack 5.0% 5.5% 4.7% 6.5% 7.6% 6.8% 10.2% 8.4% 7.7% 8.7% 7.8% 10.4% 6.4% 4.3%
Rebecca Anderson 5.5% 5.4% 6.8% 5.1% 7.0% 8.5% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.2% 6.8% 3.7%
Elena Gonick 2.5% 2.1% 3.6% 2.9% 3.8% 5.0% 5.4% 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 9.4% 13.8% 17.9% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.