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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+4.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.43vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.97+3.17vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.77+2.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.49-0.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-1.11vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.75+2.63vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.65+2.08vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.76-2.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.79-3.19vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.55-3.48vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-5.26vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.99-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.63Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.52Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emily Haig | 23.8% | 21.3% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Annie Spence | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Rebecca Anderson | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Allison DeLuca | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 27.1% |
| Erin Coyne | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 20.8% | 28.8% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Leyla Senocak | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Carina Becker | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.