← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Delaney Bamford 9.7% 9.5% 11.5% 10.5% 8.0% 10.4% 8.6% 8.0% 6.8% 5.7% 4.8% 3.4% 2.2% 0.9%
Emily Haig 23.8% 21.3% 14.7% 13.1% 9.3% 5.9% 5.2% 2.6% 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucy Wilmot 10.9% 10.6% 12.0% 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 9.6% 7.4% 6.8% 5.8% 4.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Annie Spence 5.8% 6.4% 7.4% 7.6% 7.8% 8.4% 8.1% 10.2% 8.0% 8.4% 9.3% 6.5% 3.9% 2.2%
Rebecca Anderson 4.4% 5.3% 5.7% 7.4% 7.4% 6.5% 8.2% 7.4% 9.5% 8.0% 9.5% 9.8% 6.6% 4.3%
Kathryn Hall 10.0% 10.6% 10.5% 11.8% 10.6% 9.0% 8.4% 6.5% 7.0% 6.7% 4.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.5%
Rachel Foster 9.4% 10.2% 10.3% 8.3% 9.8% 10.2% 9.2% 8.7% 7.4% 5.9% 5.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.6%
Allison DeLuca 2.3% 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0% 3.7% 4.1% 5.8% 6.3% 7.5% 11.7% 17.5% 27.1%
Erin Coyne 2.5% 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 3.5% 2.5% 2.5% 5.2% 6.2% 9.1% 11.4% 20.8% 28.8%
Julia Leighton 4.6% 5.3% 5.1% 6.1% 7.9% 7.0% 7.3% 9.2% 9.4% 9.4% 9.2% 9.2% 7.3% 3.0%
Leyla Senocak 4.9% 5.6% 5.7% 6.0% 7.5% 7.0% 9.1% 7.6% 9.2% 10.0% 8.6% 7.4% 6.3% 5.1%
Carina Becker 4.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.2% 6.1% 6.6% 7.0% 8.6% 9.5% 10.4% 8.9% 10.4% 8.6% 6.8%
Kelsey Slack 5.7% 5.3% 5.2% 6.8% 6.3% 7.7% 7.2% 11.5% 8.1% 8.7% 8.9% 8.5% 6.1% 4.0%
Elena Gonick 1.9% 2.4% 3.3% 2.6% 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 5.7% 5.9% 6.9% 9.6% 13.0% 16.8% 16.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.