Race 3B

amanda

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Haig 24.5% 20.1% 14.7% 12.1% 8.3% 6.3% 5.4% 4.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Delaney Bamford 9.4% 11.5% 9.9% 9.3% 10.0% 10.2% 10.1% 7.8% 6.6% 6.0% 4.6% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6%
Lucy Wilmot 10.4% 11.8% 10.8% 11.1% 10.7% 9.0% 8.3% 7.3% 6.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Carina Becker 3.4% 4.0% 5.7% 6.1% 6.0% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 8.4% 9.4% 10.1% 10.9% 9.4% 6.8%
Kathryn Hall 8.8% 10.7% 11.9% 11.1% 10.4% 9.2% 7.8% 8.1% 6.9% 6.1% 3.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Rachel Foster 8.6% 7.9% 9.5% 9.8% 9.6% 10.7% 7.8% 7.7% 8.0% 7.5% 6.0% 3.2% 3.1% 0.6%
Annie Spence 7.7% 7.4% 7.7% 7.2% 8.1% 8.7% 8.3% 9.2% 9.0% 7.5% 7.2% 6.6% 3.4% 2.0%
Leyla Senocak 5.7% 6.3% 6.0% 7.3% 6.8% 6.4% 7.6% 8.5% 9.0% 9.4% 8.2% 7.7% 7.0% 4.1%
Julia Leighton 5.6% 4.0% 6.0% 5.1% 6.5% 6.6% 9.5% 9.5% 9.0% 10.0% 10.0% 8.7% 5.8% 3.7%
Rebecca Anderson 5.0% 4.7% 5.1% 6.6% 7.2% 8.0% 7.4% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 10.6% 8.8% 6.6% 3.7%
Erin Coyne 1.5% 2.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 3.1% 3.8% 4.6% 4.1% 7.3% 7.6% 10.8% 18.4% 31.4%
Kelsey Slack 4.4% 5.4% 5.8% 6.2% 8.2% 7.3% 8.9% 8.1% 9.3% 7.9% 8.6% 8.4% 7.1% 4.4%
Allison DeLuca 2.4% 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.4% 3.8% 3.1% 3.9% 6.5% 6.6% 9.2% 11.1% 18.0% 26.2%
Elena Gonick 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 4.1% 4.3% 5.6% 6.0% 5.2% 6.6% 9.2% 15.1% 17.0% 15.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.