Race 4B

amanda

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Carina Becker 4.3% 3.6% 5.0% 6.3% 6.3% 7.6% 5.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 10.9% 9.4% 9.5% 6.0%
Kathryn Hall 12.3% 11.9% 10.8% 9.9% 10.7% 9.1% 10.2% 7.9% 5.8% 4.4% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Rebecca Anderson 5.3% 5.5% 7.1% 6.6% 6.7% 5.3% 7.8% 6.9% 9.8% 9.2% 10.8% 8.6% 7.3% 3.1%
Lucy Wilmot 9.3% 10.9% 13.2% 10.0% 9.4% 10.3% 8.6% 8.1% 7.4% 5.2% 3.1% 2.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Delaney Bamford 7.5% 10.4% 9.7% 10.0% 11.1% 8.0% 8.8% 8.6% 7.1% 5.7% 5.9% 4.6% 1.9% 0.7%
Emily Haig 23.0% 17.6% 17.0% 12.2% 8.6% 7.8% 5.3% 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Leighton 5.9% 6.8% 6.5% 5.8% 7.6% 6.8% 8.1% 8.8% 9.1% 8.5% 7.4% 9.2% 6.1% 3.4%
Rachel Foster 9.7% 9.7% 9.0% 8.9% 9.7% 9.7% 8.6% 7.6% 6.1% 7.4% 6.6% 3.4% 3.0% 0.6%
Leyla Senocak 5.2% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 5.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 9.2% 10.1% 10.4% 8.0% 5.2% 4.0%
Annie Spence 6.3% 5.9% 5.9% 8.8% 8.7% 8.0% 8.3% 8.5% 8.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.1% 4.1% 2.2%
Erin Coyne 1.3% 2.4% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 3.3% 3.9% 3.8% 5.3% 6.4% 8.3% 11.2% 16.7% 32.3%
Kelsey Slack 4.9% 5.7% 4.6% 7.6% 6.8% 6.5% 8.4% 9.6% 9.0% 8.9% 7.7% 8.2% 7.8% 4.3%
Allison DeLuca 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 1.9% 2.8% 3.9% 3.3% 4.5% 6.0% 7.9% 7.1% 11.2% 18.1% 26.6%
Elena Gonick 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 4.0% 3.6% 5.5% 4.7% 5.4% 6.0% 7.4% 9.3% 13.4% 17.2% 16.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.