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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.49+3.94vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.55+1.79vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.20+1.71vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.77+3.16vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.09+0.35vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.44+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-0.03-1.64vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.55-1.28vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.80-1.82vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.16-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.71-1.35vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-2.49-0.70vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-1.89-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Purdue University-0.4911.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Chicago0.5520.4%1st Place
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4.71Indiana University0.2014.7%1st Place
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7.16Hope College-0.775.6%1st Place
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5.35Marquette University-0.0910.3%1st Place
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6.28Michigan State University-0.446.9%1st Place
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5.36University of Saint Thomas-0.0311.4%1st Place
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6.72Northwestern University-0.557.0%1st Place
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7.18Washington University-0.804.9%1st Place
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8.46Northwestern University-1.163.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Michigan-1.712.2%1st Place
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11.3Lake Forest College-2.490.9%1st Place
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10.11University of Wisconsin-1.891.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nok In Chan | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Leavitt | 20.4% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sunny Sun | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ella Sligh | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Eli Erling | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 16.2% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 21.1% | 47.3% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.