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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+7.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+4.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+4.05vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+3.89vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.47vs Predicted
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6Boston University4.07+3.90vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+1.10vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College4.15+1.45vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70+2.48vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.62+2.02vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.34-2.09vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-1.06vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-3.20vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.19-4.98vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.94vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.66-4.28vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.06-6.96vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.70-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.45SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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11.48Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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10.94Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.8Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.02Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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10.04Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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11.27Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.7% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.1% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Megan Magill | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% |
| Sam Williams | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.