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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.97+6.04vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+3.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+2.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.49vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.79+2.85vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.77+1.93vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+1.20vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-2.05vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.75+1.82vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.30-3.83vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.76-3.10vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.65-0.98vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.99-2.92vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.75-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
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5.32Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.53Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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3.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.93Roger Williams University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.82Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.9Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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7.67Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Spence | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Emily Haig | 23.6% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyla Senocak | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Rebecca Anderson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Carina Becker | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Allison DeLuca | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 25.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Julia Leighton | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 30.2% |
| Elena Gonick | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 18.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.