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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+9.04vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.65+8.81vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.75+7.69vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+3.89vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.76+2.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79+1.88vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+1.20vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.77-0.25vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.30-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-3.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-7.37vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-6.48vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.49-7.51vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.97-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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10.69Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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7.87Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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5.52Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.49Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 19.3% | 28.2% |
| Allison DeLuca | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 28.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Leyla Senocak | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Carina Becker | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Rebecca Anderson | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Haig | 22.3% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Annie Spence | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.