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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.58vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.74vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.08+3.70vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.34+4.62vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.33+1.05vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.01vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.05vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.580.00vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.26-2.68vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.36-1.38vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.14-1.67vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.30-1.69vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.88-0.17vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.62-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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2.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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4.74University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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7.7Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.62Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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7.05Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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3.99SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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5.95Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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9.0Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.32Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.62Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.33Princeton University0.140.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.83Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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13.44Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Madigan | 19.1% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 34.6% | 24.2% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 14.5% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Paul Hart | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Sullivan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 1.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 23.3% | 15.4% | 6.4% |
| victor lu | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 9.7% | 26.5% | 50.3% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 30.2% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.