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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.94vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+3.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.22+0.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.38vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.08+1.76vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.33+0.01vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.34+1.69vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.26-1.78vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University0.36-0.33vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.14-0.79vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.58-2.76vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.62+0.56vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.30-2.87vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.88-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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5.81Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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4.77University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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2.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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7.76Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.01Webb Institute1.330.1%1st Place
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9.69Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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7.22Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.67Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.21Princeton University0.140.0%1st Place
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9.24Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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13.56Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.75Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 15.7% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 17.7% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 31.5% | 26.2% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zane Tinnell | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Paul Hart | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Daniel Sullivan | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 33.4% | 39.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 22.6% | 14.5% | 4.7% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 27.6% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.