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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.59vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.26+5.22vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+2.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.31vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.85vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.53+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.12vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.33-0.87vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.34+0.75vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University0.36-0.25vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.58-1.86vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.14-1.58vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.30-1.62vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.62-0.46vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.88-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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7.22Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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5.96Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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4.15SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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6.6Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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7.13Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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9.75Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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9.75Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.14Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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10.42Princeton University0.140.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.54Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.79Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 33.9% | 24.8% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 16.6% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Sullivan | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 23.5% | 16.5% | 5.7% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 31.1% | 39.6% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 26.4% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.