← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.62vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University-0.46+8.11vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.13vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.33+1.80vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.44vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University1.08+0.40vs Predicted
-
8Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.26vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University0.14+0.75vs Predicted
-
10Ocean County College0.34-0.64vs Predicted
-
11University of Delaware-0.30-0.16vs Predicted
-
12Rutgers University-1.62+1.46vs Predicted
-
13Washington College1.26-5.87vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University-0.06-3.76vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-1.88-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
-
4.62University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
-
11.11Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
3.87SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
-
6.8Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
-
3.56U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
-
7.4Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.74Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
9.75Princeton University0.140.0%1st Place
-
9.36Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
-
10.84University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
-
13.46Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
-
7.13Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.24Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
13.61Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 33.4% | 26.4% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 5.5% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 16.0% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 16.3% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.6% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Sullivan | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 5.4% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 30.1% | 37.9% |
| Paul Hart | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 26.6% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.