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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.62vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.26+3.87vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.12vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.44vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.08+0.34vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.34+1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.30+1.81vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.33-3.14vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.46+0.19vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.14-2.05vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.06-2.56vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.62-0.67vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.88-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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4.62University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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6.87Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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3.88SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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5.75Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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7.34Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.27Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.86Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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11.19Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.95Princeton University0.140.0%1st Place
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10.44Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.33Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.6Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 34.0% | 26.2% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 15.6% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 16.5% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 3.8% |
| Zane Tinnell | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Daniel Sullivan | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.7% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 12.9% | 29.5% | 36.2% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 24.2% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.