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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.58vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.45vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.08+2.43vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.28vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.26-0.10vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.46+3.03vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.58-0.35vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.33-3.17vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College0.34-1.74vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-0.30-1.21vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.51-1.77vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.88-0.60vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.76-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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4.58University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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3.83SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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3.55U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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7.43Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.72Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.9Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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11.03Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.65Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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6.83Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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9.26Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.23Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.4Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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14.27Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 34.4% | 25.7% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 15.9% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 18.4% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Roleke | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 3.2% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Zane Tinnell | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 8.5% | 1.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 20.0% | 23.7% | 13.9% | 2.2% |
| victor lu | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 40.5% | 26.6% |
| Declan McNamara | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 19.5% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.