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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.06+9.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+5.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+6.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+3.90vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.34+3.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.66+5.64vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.56vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.89-1.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.49-1.04vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.70+1.71vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.72vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-1.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.63vs Predicted
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14Boston University4.07-4.47vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-3.25vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-5.96vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.70-5.38vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.62Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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11.64U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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9.56SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.71Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.91Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.53Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.04Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 13.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% |
| Megan Magill | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.