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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.49+3.95vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.20+2.63vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.55+3.85vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.77+3.30vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.44+1.20vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.09-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-0.03-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago0.55-3.98vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.80-1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.34-1.14vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.16-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-1.89-1.82vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-2.49-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Purdue University-0.4912.9%1st Place
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4.63Indiana University0.2015.0%1st Place
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6.85Northwestern University-0.556.2%1st Place
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7.3Hope College-0.774.7%1st Place
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6.2Michigan State University-0.448.6%1st Place
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5.45Marquette University-0.099.9%1st Place
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5.54University of Saint Thomas-0.039.4%1st Place
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4.02University of Chicago0.5518.2%1st Place
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7.29Washington University-0.805.3%1st Place
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8.86University of Michigan-1.343.1%1st Place
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8.42Northwestern University-1.163.2%1st Place
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10.18University of Wisconsin-1.892.3%1st Place
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11.32Lake Forest College-2.491.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nok In Chan | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sunny Sun | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Eli Erling | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| James Leavitt | 18.2% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 9.3% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Jack Cropper | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 22.8% | 24.4% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 18.6% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.