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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.51vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.33+4.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.50vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.22-0.29vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.11vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.34+2.18vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.51+3.13vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.30+1.67vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.08-2.55vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.26-4.01vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.58-3.11vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.88+0.49vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-3.02vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.76-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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6.69Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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2.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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5.68Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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3.89SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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9.18Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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11.13Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.45Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.99Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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8.89Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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13.49Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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10.98Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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14.25Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Madigan | 19.2% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 34.0% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 11.7% | 3.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| Harrison Paige | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| victor lu | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 43.4% | 28.1% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 22.4% | 10.6% | 1.8% |
| Declan McNamara | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 21.2% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.