Race 10A

central-fall-qualifer

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Matthew Roleke 7.9% 8.2% 9.4% 10.5% 13.3% 11.9% 12.9% 10.0% 7.4% 4.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Jimmy Madigan 18.0% 21.7% 16.7% 14.0% 12.1% 8.6% 4.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Lomax 34.2% 24.8% 17.7% 12.7% 5.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Hart 3.8% 4.6% 5.8% 7.7% 9.7% 9.3% 14.2% 13.2% 11.0% 9.3% 6.5% 3.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 14.7% 14.9% 17.4% 15.7% 13.2% 9.8% 6.1% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Kearney 9.1% 11.0% 14.3% 15.6% 13.9% 13.9% 8.3% 7.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zane Tinnell 4.8% 5.2% 4.8% 7.4% 9.2% 11.9% 13.8% 14.2% 11.8% 7.4% 4.7% 4.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Harrison Paige 3.4% 3.0% 5.6% 5.7% 8.5% 9.8% 11.9% 11.7% 12.3% 14.3% 8.4% 3.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 1.1% 2.6% 2.8% 4.3% 4.1% 6.6% 10.9% 10.4% 14.5% 13.6% 12.5% 9.7% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Troy Dittenhofer 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 5.4% 7.4% 9.3% 13.1% 15.6% 14.3% 12.1% 8.2% 3.0% 0.4%
victor lu 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 1.6% 2.3% 4.5% 6.5% 12.8% 41.2% 27.2%
George Kevrekidis 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 9.5% 14.9% 18.0% 23.7% 13.4% 2.0%
Sean Crandall 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.7% 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 5.8% 7.3% 9.5% 14.1% 21.3% 19.0% 9.2% 1.8%
Veronica Lane 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 3.1% 2.4% 5.5% 7.4% 9.3% 15.1% 16.8% 21.5% 12.4% 1.5%
Declan McNamara 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 4.2% 4.7% 18.9% 67.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.