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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+1.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.97vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+3.00vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.79vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.37-0.45vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.05+2.14vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.23+0.70vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.47+1.54vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University0.53-2.09vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.72-3.65vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-0.86-0.29vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College-0.80-1.45vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.94-2.30vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.57-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.3%1st Place
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2.97U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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6.0Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.8SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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5.55Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
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9.14Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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8.7Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.54Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.91Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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7.35Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.55Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.7Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.96Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hunter | 27.4% | 23.8% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 26.6% | 23.6% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Gallagher | 13.8% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 5.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 5.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 16.0% |
| Sean Boland | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 16.8% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.