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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.50+2.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.85vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.66vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.15vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72+2.33vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.23+2.69vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.05+2.09vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.82vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.53-1.23vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.37-4.38vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-0.86+0.52vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.94-0.05vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-2.23vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-0.80-2.62vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.57-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09U. S. Naval Academy2.500.2%1st Place
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2.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.3%1st Place
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6.66SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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7.33Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.69Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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9.09Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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6.18Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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7.77Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.62Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.95Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
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10.77Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.38Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
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12.94Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Gartner | 24.8% | 21.8% | 19.0% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 28.0% | 23.7% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 13.9% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Cornog | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 21.6% | 16.8% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 8.8% |
| Sean Boland | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 12.7% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.