← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.86+3.30vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.86vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University1.37+2.45vs Predicted
-
4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.16vs Predicted
-
5Washington College0.23+3.66vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University0.72+1.28vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.50-3.94vs Predicted
-
8Ocean County College-0.80+3.39vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University0.05+0.14vs Predicted
-
10Monmouth University0.53-2.12vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook0.90-4.16vs Predicted
-
12Penn State University-1.57+1.22vs Predicted
-
13Rutgers University-0.94-1.16vs Predicted
-
14University of Delaware-0.86-2.51vs Predicted
-
15Webb Institute-0.47-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.3University of Pennsylvania1.860.1%1st Place
-
2.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.3%1st Place
-
5.45Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.16Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
8.66Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
7.28Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
3.06U. S. Naval Academy2.500.2%1st Place
-
11.39Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
-
9.14Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.88Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
-
6.84SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
-
13.22Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
-
11.84Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
-
10.45Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Probst | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 27.9% | 23.4% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 25.0% | 21.4% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Boland | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 13.3% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 45.0% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 17.5% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 14.5% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.