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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.50+2.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.84vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.13vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72+2.30vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.76vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.37-1.52vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.53-0.25vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.05-0.01vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-1.57+2.92vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-0.94+0.63vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.23-3.25vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-2.40vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.95-2.40vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-1.23-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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2.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.3%1st Place
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5.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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7.3Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.76SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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5.48Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
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7.75Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.99Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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12.92Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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11.63Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.75Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.6Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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12.2Ocean County College-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Gartner | 25.1% | 21.8% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 27.2% | 24.4% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 13.3% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Cornog | 8.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 21.5% | 36.7% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 6.8% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 13.7% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.