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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.37+4.47vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.53+5.64vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.72vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.05+5.06vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.18vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.84vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72+0.18vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.23+0.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-6.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.50-6.88vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-0.94+0.59vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College-1.23+0.44vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.95-1.26vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.57-1.13vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-0.47-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
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7.64Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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6.72SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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9.06Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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6.18Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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7.18Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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8.58Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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2.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.3%1st Place
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3.12U. S. Naval Academy2.500.2%1st Place
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11.59Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.44Ocean County College-1.230.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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12.87Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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10.39Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Cornog | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 12.4% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 27.8% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 23.1% | 21.8% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 15.4% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 25.5% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 15.5% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 35.2% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.