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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.37+4.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84+2.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.50-0.16vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.05+5.06vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University0.53+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.86-1.85vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.10vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.32vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.47+1.52vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.72-2.78vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-0.94+0.66vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.57+1.21vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.23-4.31vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.95-2.33vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-0.80-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.1%1st Place
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2.84U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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9.06Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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7.69Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Pennsylvania1.860.1%1st Place
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5.9Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.68SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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10.52Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.22Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.66Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.21Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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8.69Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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11.25Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Cornog | 11.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kieran Cullen | 13.6% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 29.1% | 21.4% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tanner Probst | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 6.4% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 20.8% | 43.2% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| Sean Boland | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.